538 breaks down six high-profile primaries for the U.S. Senate and House in Minnesota and Wisconsin, providing valuable insights into the upcoming elections. The polls offer a glimpse into the preferences of voters in these key battleground states, shedding light on the potential outcomes of these closely watched races.
New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and 538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich engage in a thought-provoking discussion on the use of polling in politics. They analyze the effectiveness of polling methodologies and explore whether recent polls accurately reflect voter sentiment.
Top pollsters consistently show Vice President Kamala Harris as the front-runner in recent 2024 surveys. Her popularity among voters indicates a strong chance of success in the upcoming election, positioning her as a formidable candidate in the presidential race.
538's 2024 presidential election forecast model reveals interesting insights into the chances of Democrat Joe Biden and Republican Donald Trump winning the election. The model takes into account various factors to predict the potential outcomes of the election, offering valuable insights for political analysts and voters alike.
While Harris initially polled worse than Biden against Trump before the debate, recent polls indicate that she has closed the gap and is now performing as well as or better than Biden in a significant number of polls. This shift in polling dynamics highlights the evolving nature of political preferences and the impact of debates on voter sentiment.
538's Pollster Ratings provide a comprehensive overview of polling firms based on their historical track record and methodological transparency. By evaluating the quality of polling data, analysts can assess the reliability of poll results and make informed decisions based on accurate information.
The partnership with Ipsos to poll voters before and after political debates offers valuable insights into voter sentiment and preferences. By tracking changes in voter opinions before and after candidates take the stage, analysts can gauge the impact of debates on electoral outcomes.
Introducing 538's new 2024 presidential polling averages for the matchup between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. The polling averages offer a snapshot of voter preferences and provide a basis for analyzing the potential outcomes of the presidential race.
The analysis of 538's 2024 presidential election forecast model highlights the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the election. Despite recent developments, the model indicates that the race remains a toss-up, underscoring the importance of continued monitoring and analysis of polling data.
