Ten days after the 2020 election, Tom Bevan, co-founder and president of RealClearPolitics, received an email from a New York Times reporter. The reporter wanted to know if there were any early indicators of how the 2024 election might shape up. Bevan and his team got to work analyzing the latest polls to see if there were any trends emerging.
RCP co-founder Tom Bevan and Washington bureau chief Carl Cannon discuss the latest 2024 election polls, including one poll showing Biden up. The poll in question showed President Biden gaining ground against potential Republican challengers in a hypothetical matchup. Bevan noted that there was an "upward movement for Biden" in the latest two-way election polls, which was a positive sign for the incumbent president.
President Joe Biden's re-election campaign took the unusual step of publicly releasing a strategy memo, contending Florida “is a winnable state” for Democrats in 2024. The memo cited internal polling data that showed Biden with a slight edge over potential Republican rivals in the state. The release of the memo was seen as a strategic move to boost morale among Democratic supporters and donors.
First Lady Jill Biden dismissed a Wall Street Journal poll that found former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in six key swing states. Mrs. Biden argued that the poll was an outlier and pointed to other recent polls that showed her husband with a more favorable position. The First Lady's comments sparked a debate among political analysts about the reliability of polling data in the current political climate.
Documentarian Rory Kennedy, the youngest sister of presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., appeared on MSNBC to discuss the latest polling data. Kennedy expressed cautious optimism about Biden's chances in 2024, citing favorable trends in recent polls. She emphasized the importance of reaching out to working-class voters who may have felt neglected by both parties in past elections.
'New Yorker' staff writer Susan Glasser joined the 'Morning Joe' panel to discuss her latest analysis of the polling data. Glasser highlighted the potential impact of economic issues on voters' decisions in the upcoming election. She pointed to polling data that showed a majority of Americans were concerned about rising inflation and its impact on their daily lives. Glasser emphasized the need for candidates to address these issues in their campaign platforms.
Thursday on the RealClearPolitics radio show, Carl Cannon discussed the latest polling data with his co-hosts. Cannon highlighted the importance of looking beyond the topline numbers to understand the underlying trends in the electorate. He emphasized the need for a nuanced analysis of the polling data to accurately predict the outcome of the 2024 election.
