Polling and data guru Nate Silver updated his prediction to “toss up” two days after he said former President Trump was electorally favored. This shift comes as Vice President Harris has now taken a slight lead against Trump ahead of the presidential election in November, according to data published by Silver's election model. This marks the first time since the model launched that Harris is leading Trump in the polls.
Trump's campaign seems to be faltering as he continues to struggle with messaging and public perception. Nate Silver slammed FiveThirtyEight, the website he founded back in 2008, for suspending their presidential forecast, suspecting external interference. It appears that Trump's support is waning, while Harris is gaining momentum.
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 1.4 points according to Nate Silver's new poll. The Vice President could name her running mate soon, further solidifying her position as a front-runner in the race. Climate activist and feminist icon Jane Fonda has even endorsed Harris, adding to her growing support base.