Predicting the 2024 Senate Elections: A Look at the Potential Outcomes

If there was one sign this week of Vice President Kamala Harris' place atop the Democratic ticket having improved the party's brand, it was the release of a new forecast for the 2024 Senate elections. The U.S. Senate currently has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans, with 34 seats up for grabs in 2024 - including a special election in Georgia.

Our forecast shows the Democrats are back in the race, with a national analysis group that correctly predicted the Legislature's partisan split after the 2022 election now forecasting Democratic wins in key Senate races. The big question on everyone's mind is: Who will control the Senate? Review and predict the outcome of the 34 Senate races in the 2024 elections.

Democrats hope to maintain control of the Senate, but they must win two toss-up races in states that Donald Trump won in the 2020 presidential election. This presents a challenging path for the Democrats, especially after President Joe Biden stepped aside from the 2024 campaign.

On the other side, Senate Republicans are gearing up for their most favorable Election Day map in a decade, with multiple pickup opportunities in key states. The stage is set for a closely contested battle for control of the Senate in 2024.

May 30, 2024 (Washington D.C.) – The Hill and leading election results provider Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) today released DDHQ's first forecast for the 2024 Senate elections. The data paints a picture of a highly competitive race, with both parties vying for control of the Senate.

In terms of categories, this article falls under 'Congress' as it focuses on the upcoming Senate elections and the potential impact on the balance of power in Congress.